SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
APMKDon wrote:
Anything less than 12 and we are in a relegation battle especially as 3 of those games are against teams below us.
11 points from our next 8 games would be comfortable mid-table form, while those really in the relegation battle will only average 9 points or fewer from their next 8 games...Scunny A L
Rotherham A L
Plymouth H W
Peatboghorror H D
Oxford A L
KFC H W
Norfampton A D
Rotherham H W
would do it with 11 points from those games.
Given that we're 5 points above the relegation battle atm, to be dragged towards it we'd need to get 6 points or fewer while those really in it get 9 points or more over the next 8 games, imho.One point better off than expected, after the Scunthorpe & Rotherham away games...
Two points worse off than expected after the first three games - not confident we'll even get 5 points from our next 5 games now, let alone 10 on current form...
Back on target after the first four games then - merely a small misalignment in the prediction sequence...
Same number of points as expected after the Oxford away game...
Two points worse off than expected after six games - not optimistic we'll get 6 points from our next 2 games on current form...
And we didn't.
"11 points from our next 8 games would be comfortable mid-table form, while those really in the relegation battle will only average 9 points or fewer from their next 8 games...
Given that we're 5 points above the relegation battle atm, to be dragged towards it we'd need to get 6 points or fewer while those really in it get 9 points or more over the next 8 games, imho."No points scored in our last two games, and just 5 points from our last 8 games overall while some of those already in the relegation battle scored 9 points or more (at our expense), means we
have been dragged into the relegation battle.
So we've crashed from playoffs form in the autumn, to relegation form this winter...
Meanwhile, Plymouth & Gillingham have transformed their season with automatic promotion form to leap out of the relegation places up into the top half of the table , and we've slumped down into them.
Two wins against Northampton & Walsall however, would've had seen us in 17th and 4 points clear of the relegation zone right now.
Even just a win against Northampton would've kept us out of the relegation zone, and them still in it.
That Northampton game was crucial, and Neilson was rightly sacked afterwards.
Can Micciche do what Neilson did last season, and rescue us from the relegation battle we're now in?
COYD!