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SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Sat Apr 02, 2022 7:39 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 2/4/22:

Champions - 18%
2nd place - 32%
Get promoted - 64%
Make the play-offs - 50%
Top 6 finish - 99.9%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
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SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Wed Apr 06, 2022 12:06 am 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 5/4/22:

Champions - 13%
2nd place - 32%
Get promoted - 60%
Make the play-offs - 55%
Top 6 finish - 99.9%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
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SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Sat Apr 09, 2022 8:18 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 9/4/22:

Champions - 4%
2nd place - 41%
Get promoted - 60%
Make the play-offs - 55%
Top 6 finish - 99.9%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd (on goal difference)

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 10:41 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 12/4/22:

Champions - 8%
2nd place - 53%
Get promoted - 71%
Make the play-offs - 39%
Top 6 finish - 99.9%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 2nd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Sat Apr 16, 2022 11:36 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 16/4/22:

Champions - 6%
2nd place - 28%
Get promoted - 50%
Make the play-offs - 67%
Top 6 finish - 99.9%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2022 10:14 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 19/4/22:

Champions - <1%
2nd place - 29%
Get promoted - 48%
Make the play-offs - 70%
Top 6 finish - 99.5%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2022 7:47 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 23/4/22:

Champions - <1%
2nd place - 16%
Get promoted - 38%
Make the play-offs - 84%
Top 4 finish - 100%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
ReturnofMoo
PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2022 7:51 pm 
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Joined: Sun Oct 08, 2017 12:01 pm
Posts: 6520
Make the play off 84% :o . I thought 3rd or 4th was a shoe in. :?

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Disclaimer: All my comments are my opinions unless stated otherwise. I'm just a fan following my club.
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SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2022 8:00 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
ReturnofMoo wrote:
Make the play off 84% :o . I thought 3rd or 4th was a shoe in. :?
At least 3rd or 4th is indeed secure.

However, we still have a 16% probability of 2nd, and there's still a small probability of beng Champions if all the other results went our way.

Hence the Top 4 finish - 100%, and the other lines in my post - HTH :)

SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
End of season probabilities - as at 23/4/22:

Champions - <1%
2nd place - 16%
Get promoted - 38%
Make the play-offs - 84%
Top 4 finish - 100%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2022 10:36 pm 
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User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 26/4/22:

Champions - <1%
2nd place - 19%
Get promoted - 39%
Make the play-offs - 81%
Top 3 finish - 100%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W
Top
 Profile  
 
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