THE CONCRETE ROUNDABOUT (TCR)

TGGI.

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APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 1/3/22:

Champions - 3%
2nd place - 17%
Get promoted - 39%
Make the play-offs - 74%
Top 6 finish - 94%
Get relegated - <0.01%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 5/3/22:

Champions - 8%
2nd place - 26%
Get promoted - 50%
Make the play-offs - 64%
Top 6 finish - 98%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

N.b - as the probability of us finishing higher than the play-offs increases, the headline probability of us finishing in the play-offs actually decreases again, hence I've added and highlighted both the Get promoted probability and the Top 6 finish probability, which are looking very good indeed.

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 8/3/22:

Champions - 9%
2nd place - 29%
Get promoted - 53%
Make the play-offs - 61%
Top 6 finish - 99%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

N.b - as the probability of us finishing higher than the play-offs increases, the headline probability of us finishing in the play-offs actually decreases again, hence I've added & highlighted both the Get promoted probability and the Top 6 finish probability, which are looking very good indeed.

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

I’m glad you explained that…….I was wondering why our % chance of getting in the playoffs was decreasing when we are winning.

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Being tortured for over 90 minutes on a weekly basis is taking its toll.

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 12/3/22:

Champions - 7%
2nd place - 24%
Get promoted - 48%
Make the play-offs - 67%
Top 6 finish - 98%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

N.b - if the probability of us finishing lower than the autos increases, the headline probability of us finishing in the play-offs increases again, hence I've highlighted both the Get promoted probability and the Top 6 finish probability too, which are still looking good.

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 15/3/22:

Champions - 5%
2nd place - 21%
Get promoted - 45%
Make the play-offs - 72%
Top 6 finish - 98%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

N.b - As the probability of us finishing lower than the autos increases, the headline probability of us finishing in the play-offs increases again, hence I've highlighted both the Get promoted probability and the Top 6 finish probability too, which are still looking good.

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 19/3/22:

Champions - 10%
2nd place - 26%
Get promoted - 53%
Make the play-offs - 63%
Top 6 finish - 99%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

N.b - as the probability of us finishing higher than the play-offs increases again, the headline probability of us finishing in the play-offs decreases again, hence I've highlighted both the Get promoted probability and the Top 6 finish probability, which are looking very good indeed.

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W

End of season probabilities - as at 22/3/22:

Champions - 11%
2nd place - 26%
Get promoted - 53%
Make the play-offs - 63%
Top 6 finish - 99.9%
Get relegated - 0%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W