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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 9:38 am 
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Farage! I’d forgotten about him. He’s rocked up at conference this week, under the guise of a GB News reporter, and basically set the agenda, as he’s been doing for years. He’s single handedly ruined this country. Ruined it. If it weren’t for him we wouldn’t have had Cameron running scared within a party that old Nige’ was no longer a member of. Seriously doubt that we would've had Brexit at all if it weren’t for him.

Sunak was actually asked this week if he’d welcome Farage back into the party. Being his usual noncommittal self, he said that the Conservative party was a wide church, only for Farage to swiftly say that he’d never return to the fold. When pressed if he’d reconsider if Braverman were leader, he helpfully replied “At least I’d believe in some of the policies”. He’s shaped Conservative party policies from the outside for years. Talk about playing the long game. I wouldn’t be surprised if he were to try his hand for an eighth time, only this time wearing a blue rosette.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 10:04 am 
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Lieutenant Dan wrote:
Ormeau wrote:
The polarisation of politics as a whole and the strengthening of the far right is a trend happening across most of the world (worryingly). In NI it has lead to quite a fractious situation within Unionist politics (typical more right leaning) and calls for the formation of two new parties to replace the existing 3 (DUP, TUV,UUP). Essentially left leaning and more moderate Unionists feel they don't have an option that represents them as the DUP have moved into the realms of the far right. It seems a similar scenario is happening with the Conservatives and I wonder if the party as a whole can survive in its current guise? Nigel Farage bumming around in the midst of everything at the Tory conference will surely be hard to tolerate for the more moderate members of the party. Is it at all conceivable that a split could happen?

I don't think the Conservatives will split - if Brexit didn't split them despite everything, I don't think anything will. Too many backbenchers in a very comfortable position that don't want to take the risk of upsetting their cushy situation.

I'd like to ask you a question about NI politics: how are Sinn Fein viewed these days? I know they made some big gains in the last election south of the border - was wondering if they're gaining more of the middle ground (if such a thing exists in NI) under O'Neill, or if the connections with Adams and McGuinness are still a bit too recent and raw?


Apologies Dan long answer incoming. Fellow TCR members may wish to skip this post....

Starting with the middle ground, politics in Northern Ireland isn't split along grounds of 'The left' and the 'The right' but divided by the constitutional question of is Northern Ireland part of the UK or should it be part of a United Ireland. It is very very very rare for someone to change their position in this particular question and those that don't tend to have a strong view are often considered the middle ground.

Sinn Fein are an incredibly well oiled political machine. Their messaging and branding is consistent, their representatives always toe the party line and over the last decade they have done a great job at creating a new image for themselves as the progressive socialist option in Ireland (despite not always delivering on these promises). Consequently their popularity has never been higher, especially with the younger generation of voters and this trend looks like it is set to continue. The are now the biggest party in Northern Ireland having pulled voters away from the other Nationalist parties such as the SDLP and the traditionally neutral parties such as the Green Party (who are all but wipped out now in NI sadly). Brexit undoubtedly helped their cause as it has destabilised the foundations of the Good Friday Agreement and heightened tensions that many hoped were a thing of the past. 12 years of Tory austerity has also helped especially as the Irish economy looks strong at the minute dispelling many long held arguments that a United Ireland is financial unfeasible.

Having said all this they are still Sinn Fein, a Nationalist pro reunification party with links to a troubled past. There are many communities that will never vote for them or even tolerate them being in politics for many different reasons. I myself have never and probably will never vote for them as a matter of principle. I personally have a lot of respect for the political journey that Martin McGuinness in particular went on. The day he met the Queen and they shook hands was monumental. It symbolised that dialogue and politics were better tools than violence and conflict. It showed the world that forgiveness in the name of peace was possible and that all relationships, given time and effort can be made to work.

All this being said whilst their are families who still do not know where the bodies of their loved ones were buried after the IRA abducted them I simply cannot bring myself put an X in the box beside Sinn Fein. Not while they still have active members who might know those answer to these questions (Mr Adams in particular).

Despite what I've said above it would disingenuous of me not to mention that there are some very capable politicians in their ranks who do seem to genuinely care about improving the lives of their constituents and communities. I can totally understand why people are voting for them and expect them to be the leading parties in Government North and South of the border very soon.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 10:34 am 
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Thanks for that, that was a really interesting post! I guess younger voters don't have the same historical grievances with SF that their parents and grandparents understandably do, so SF can gradually move forward through the generations over time.

The point about SF being the biggest party in NI is a fascinating prospect - do you think in that situation, the DUP would dig their heels in even more and refuse to be part of a power-sharing agreement in which they didn't hold the First Minister role?

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 11:14 am 
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I'll never vote Tory for as long as I live I've been that angered and frustrated by the government in the last decade or so.

Unfortunately my constituency has been staunch Tory for as long as it has been a thing other than a couple of times in the 1920's so my vote tends to have not made any difference. This time around though with Nadine Dorries cocking around and then resigning a change is hopefully in the air, though as others have said I'm really not sure if I like any of them.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 12:22 pm 
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Ormeau wrote:
keyser soze wrote:
ReturnofMoo wrote:
keyser soze wrote:
I always vote labour. But no party will be able to make much difference in the near term. The finances dictate that.


That's always the excuse. The climate demands it.

Look at what we owe and how much it’s costing to service the debt. You could probably borrow more but the repayments would make Austerity look like a tea party.


Nothing that a little quantitative easing and a progressive wealth tax couldn't fix.

To expand on this -there is more money washing around the economy than the Tories (and indeed Starmer's Labour) care to admit. Record profits across the energy sector quarter after quarter for 2 years in a row. These profits could and should be utilised to fund the urgent climate action needed - which itself could guarantee energy security, reduce households bills, free up disposable income and reduce inflation in the long term.

Emotionally, I agree with this. But I don’t think the facts support it. The problems we face (NHS, public infrastructure, housing, transition to “green” etc) is so costly to fund that even a hugely increased tax base couldn’t cover it. And Britain is, unlike many continental countries, culturally against higher taxes. Long term, economic growth helps of course but you have to ask a strategic question: if we want a sustainable future, that surely means we have to wean ourselves off of growth and accept that we need a new paradigm, one of zero growth?

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 12:30 pm 
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I rarely rarely engage in politics talk but seeing as this thread has (bar the odd one or two) been a sensible read.

Ideologically I am a conservative voter. Or too put it more accurately historically would be an conservative voter. Today I dont really recognise that particular party and would find it hard to vote for them. As it stands I havent voted for them in years as my constituent MP was Dorries and I just couldnt do it. I have always voted for MRLP if they have a candidate or occasionally the Green party. I am aligned to neither of those and only do so to utilise my hard earned but mainly pointless vote.

As you may be aware we have a pending by election and its an interesting dilemma as to which way to go, noting the successful candidate will have to stand again in 6 to 12 months I would imagine.

For the conservatives we have a guy who has/is serving as the PCC and has done a decent job and does appear to be a genuinely decent guy. I dont doubt locally he would be a good MP and with the 20000+ majority that exists here he may well get in again this time.

For Labour we have a guy who may or may not live in the area, its seems a bit unclear. I have met him and he seems a decent guy if not a bit identikit candidate who arrived with a full PR team around him with some sort of voter modelling document. He couldnt answer much about local issues and even less about national policy. I need a bit more than 'they had a party' as a policy.

We have a woman for the lib dems who has canvassed hard and personally. Seemed to understand the local issues and actually had a few answers, particularly about policy and was clear about what she had voted for and against locally.

Its a difficulT choice to make as if I want the conservatives out, i will probably have to vote for the lib dems candidate as voting labour would split the vote I think and make it almost certain that the conservatives get in again. This might well happen anyway so I am minded to give the guy a go and expect the party will be out of government in 6 to 12 months anyway.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 1:17 pm 
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Gers wrote:
Lieutenant Dan wrote:
Lieutenant Dan wrote:
I'd love to read a concise answer to this question: what does a Keir Starmer Labour Party stand for? And I'd like to see an answer that doesn't just involve deflecting and bashing the Conservatives.

Anyone?


As I’ve already stated, I’m a life-long Labour supporter, and in my younger days an activist. I couldn’t tell you what Starmer’s Labour stands for. But I know this. I’m glad that he’s not Corbyn.

Like I’m constantly banning on about, I’m a life-long supporter. I’ve worked for the party on a voluntary basis, fund raised, even been arrested on a miners strike demo. So it’s fair to say I think I’ve done my bit. When Corbyn took over the party, me and folk like me, people who’d put their lives into supporting the socialist cause, were being told by others who’d paid £2 to register as Labour supporters that we weren’t welcome. I was actually called a ‘friend of Israel’ by someone simply for having the temerity to be married to someone who once lived there. It just became stupid towards the end.

His, Corbyn’s, biggest achievement in politics was to stand on a stage at Glastonbury and have the crowd sing Seven Nation Army back at him. Well done. Take that to the polls. Oh he did you say! And how did that work out? The biggest Conservative majority since God was a boy. Well done.

What I’m trying to get across to those who think that Starmer is vanilla is this. Unless you’ve been through the above, you can have no idea what it’s been like since the Brexit vote. No idea whatsoever. It’s been dreadful. Starmer! He’s obviously not much better than Sunak. But he is better.

Here’s what I think is going to happen. Starmer’s Labour win the next general election, but without much enthusiasm from anyone. Including the Labour Party itself. It won’t be a rerun of Blair in ‘97, even although arguably the Conservatives are in a worse state now than they were then. Starmer will win simply by being the least worst option. Nothing much will change. Because the country’s been run into the ground. There’s no magic wand that Labour when in power can wave to undo what the current government has done to this country. That’s how it is.

And I know you didn’t want the Conservative party’s part in all of this discussed, but allow an old man his say. The Conservative Party will lurch even further to the right than they already have. Sunak will either fall victim to a Braverman led coup, or will leave politics and return to the USA where he once held a green card, and count his enormous pile of cash. Under Braverman, they will engage in populist agendas, and as with Trump’s Republicans, just plain lies. If you think that Sue-Ellen’s 700m refugees heading to the UK’s shores on a flotilla of inflatable lie-lows is bad, then you ain’t seen nothing yet.

Whatever happens, we’re fucked either way. Best go with Billy Connolly’s take on politics… Don’t vote. It’ll only encourage them.


Rishi’s high tax, high levels of state spending, government, isn’t right wing. Quite the opposite.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 2:20 pm 
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dons50 wrote:
Gers wrote:
Lieutenant Dan wrote:
Lieutenant Dan wrote:
I'd love to read a concise answer to this question: what does a Keir Starmer Labour Party stand for? And I'd like to see an answer that doesn't just involve deflecting and bashing the Conservatives.

Anyone?


As I’ve already stated, I’m a life-long Labour supporter, and in my younger days an activist. I couldn’t tell you what Starmer’s Labour stands for. But I know this. I’m glad that he’s not Corbyn.

Like I’m constantly banning on about, I’m a life-long supporter. I’ve worked for the party on a voluntary basis, fund raised, even been arrested on a miners strike demo. So it’s fair to say I think I’ve done my bit. When Corbyn took over the party, me and folk like me, people who’d put their lives into supporting the socialist cause, were being told by others who’d paid £2 to register as Labour supporters that we weren’t welcome. I was actually called a ‘friend of Israel’ by someone simply for having the temerity to be married to someone who once lived there. It just became stupid towards the end.

His, Corbyn’s, biggest achievement in politics was to stand on a stage at Glastonbury and have the crowd sing Seven Nation Army back at him. Well done. Take that to the polls. Oh he did you say! And how did that work out? The biggest Conservative majority since God was a boy. Well done.

What I’m trying to get across to those who think that Starmer is vanilla is this. Unless you’ve been through the above, you can have no idea what it’s been like since the Brexit vote. No idea whatsoever. It’s been dreadful. Starmer! He’s obviously not much better than Sunak. But he is better.

Here’s what I think is going to happen. Starmer’s Labour win the next general election, but without much enthusiasm from anyone. Including the Labour Party itself. It won’t be a rerun of Blair in ‘97, even although arguably the Conservatives are in a worse state now than they were then. Starmer will win simply by being the least worst option. Nothing much will change. Because the country’s been run into the ground. There’s no magic wand that Labour when in power can wave to undo what the current government has done to this country. That’s how it is.

And I know you didn’t want the Conservative party’s part in all of this discussed, but allow an old man his say. The Conservative Party will lurch even further to the right than they already have. Sunak will either fall victim to a Braverman led coup, or will leave politics and return to the USA where he once held a green card, and count his enormous pile of cash. Under Braverman, they will engage in populist agendas, and as with Trump’s Republicans, just plain lies. If you think that Sue-Ellen’s 700m refugees heading to the UK’s shores on a flotilla of inflatable lie-lows is bad, then you ain’t seen nothing yet.

Whatever happens, we’re fucked either way. Best go with Billy Connolly’s take on politics… Don’t vote. It’ll only encourage them.


Rishi’s high tax, high levels of state spending, government, isn’t right wing. Quite the opposite.


Nor is paying 8 million per day to provide free accommodation for people who probably should not be here.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 2:28 pm 
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Fiscal decisions in isolation are not a representative indicator of a parties ideology.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2023 2:53 pm 
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Ormeau wrote:
Fiscal decisions in isolation are not a representative indicator of a parties ideology.


Highest tax burden as a percentage of GDP since the war is not indicative of a right wing government.


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