THE CONCRETE ROUNDABOUT (TCR)

Here are the predicted finishing positions for League 1, by Ben Mayhew @ Experimental 361

After our 1-1 draw away at Fleetwood, it's 83% probable that we'll get relegated:



Explanation:
You can think of the ordering of the teams down the left hand side of the graphic as a “best guess” of the final league table, with the coloured bars showing the relative likelihood of each club ending up in a certain section of the table.

Each of the remaining fixtures has been simulated thousands of times to generate probabilities for where each club will finish.

Each club’s current E-ratings and those of their remaining opponents have been used to predict how the rest of the season could play out.

The graphic shows the cumulative probability of where each club could end up, in descending order of average points won.

A full explanation & the E-ratings used may be found at Experimental 361:
https://experimental361.com/2018/02/25/ ... -feb-2018/

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APL Hall of Fame Champion 2023/24
APL Champion 2017/18
134 grounds - 78/92

PW: 'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long...'
It's Pete's train set and you should all feel honoured to be granted the privilege of paying to watch him play with it.

There’s still 17% chance. KTF.

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I don't need your ill-informed, half-baked, idiotic opinions. I have plenty of those myself.

Yeah, but look what happened to Han Solo...killed by his own son.

Indeed.

For reference, here are the previous probabilities of MK Dons avoiding relegation:

After the Cobblers away defeat = 53%
RN sacked.
DM appointed.
After the Walsall away defeat = 43%
After the Portsmouth home defeat = 35%
After the Oldham away & Charlton home defeats, and the Rochdale away & Fleetwood away draws = 17%

Time to give the Infinite Improbability Drive, a cup of really hot tea...

_________________
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2023/24
APL Champion 2017/18
134 grounds - 78/92

PW: 'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long...'
It's Pete's train set and you should all feel honoured to be granted the privilege of paying to watch him play with it.

I think the only glimmer of hope we have is winning our game in hand against Rotherham to close the gap to 3 points. Although that will be irrelevant if we lose one of our other games and the teams we are chasing win them.

Still lots of points to play for, but we've been saying that for weeks and still haven't won a game. Before we know it, we will be one game away from relegation certainty.

100% we will

I will take those chances with glee! right now I would put our chances of being relegated firmly at 100% so thats good reading in my opinion!

I told you that was good shit. Well worth the money.

_________________
I don't need your ill-informed, half-baked, idiotic opinions. I have plenty of those myself.