THE CONCRETE ROUNDABOUT (TCR)

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:31 pm 
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Posts: 685
Wigan have a huge amount of banana skins in February alone. They have a number of difficult games to come. Also I’m hoping the postponements they’ve faced and the resulting fixture congestion will play into our hands. We also have s tough end to this month saturday onwards which for most teams would be unwelcome but for us I feel more confident in our ability to step up against the big teams than in s game we should win on paper. We’ve got some great grounds to go to coming up and some big games. The next few weeks will be very exciting! Win or lose it’s been a great season to date. I want autos as I hate the playoff lottery but I’m thankful for the team they’ve earns this right, one we never imagined would be possible before a ball was kicked


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:32 pm 
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Posts: 685
Now we’ve got a taste of success I want more!


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PostPosted: Sat Feb 12, 2022 11:47 pm 
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Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
59% probable that MK Dons will make the play-offs

End of season probabilities - as at 12 Feb:

Champions - 1%
Get promoted - 24%
Make the play-offs - 59%
Get relegated - <1%
League finish - 4th

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APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W


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PostPosted: Sun Feb 20, 2022 11:00 am 
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Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 19 Feb:

Champions - 2%
Get promoted - 28%
Make the play-offs - 67%
Top 6 finish - 79%
Get relegated - <1%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W


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PostPosted: Wed Feb 23, 2022 9:48 am 
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Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 22/2/22:

Champions - 2%
Get promoted - 32%
Make the play-offs - 76%
Top 6 finish - 89%
Get relegated - <0.1%
League finish - 3rd

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W


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PostPosted: Wed Feb 23, 2022 10:59 am 
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Posts: 1420
BertieWoostersDonsClub wrote:
At this stage, I'd strongly expect us to make the play offs but can't see past Rotherham or Wigan (my tip as soon as the takeover happened, and ever more so after their squad was assembled) for automatic promotion.
The play offs are looking like they're going to be very strong, with some very tough games. On paper, they could look huge for league one level if a number of the 'big' clubs are in there. But they'll be just as difficult if it's the likes of Plymouth or Wycombe.
It's going to be an exciting end to the season. :D

We need to keep the pressure on Wigan and Rotherham. Remember Sunderland and Wycombe were both near the top quite recently - they have taken 2 points and 3 points from their last 18. Anything can happen in this league.

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PostPosted: Wed Feb 23, 2022 11:10 am 
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Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
epdon wrote:
BertieWoostersDonsClub wrote:
At this stage, I'd strongly expect us to make the play offs but can't see past Rotherham or Wigan (my tip as soon as the takeover happened, and ever more so after their squad was assembled) for automatic promotion.
The play offs are looking like they're going to be very strong, with some very tough games.
On paper, they could look huge for league one level if a number of the 'big' clubs are in there.
But they'll be just as difficult if it's the likes of Plymouth or Wycombe.
It's going to be an exciting end to the season. :D
We need to keep the pressure on Wigan and Rotherham.
Remember Sunderland and Wycombe were both near the top quite recently - they have taken 2 points and 3 points from their last 18.
Anything can happen in this league.
Indeed, and currently there's still a 11% probability we'll finish 2nd. :)

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APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W


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PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2022 8:14 pm 
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Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
SG19 Cowshed Das Boot wrote:
epdon wrote:
BertieWoostersDonsClub wrote:
At this stage, I'd strongly expect us to make the play offs but can't see past Rotherham or Wigan (my tip as soon as the takeover happened, and ever more so after their squad was assembled) for automatic promotion.
The play offs are looking like they're going to be very strong, with some very tough games.
On paper, they could look huge for league one level if a number of the 'big' clubs are in there.
But they'll be just as difficult if it's the likes of Plymouth or Wycombe.
It's going to be an exciting end to the season. :D
We need to keep the pressure on Wigan and Rotherham.
Remember Sunderland and Wycombe were both near the top quite recently - they have taken 2 points and 3 points from their last 18.
Anything can happen in this league.
Indeed, and currently there's still a 11% probability we'll finish 2nd. :)
And after the Bolton 2-0 home win, there's now a 21% probability we'll finish 2nd. :)

_________________
APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W


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PostPosted: Sun Feb 27, 2022 10:32 am 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:55 am
Posts: 6205
Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
End of season probabilities - as at 26/2/22:

Champions - 2%
2nd place - 21%
Get promoted - 41%
Make the play-offs - 72%
Top 6 finish - 95%
Get relegated - <0.01%
League finish - 3rd

N.b - as the probability of us finishing higher than the play-offs increases, the headline probability of us finishing in the play-offs actually decreases again, hence I've added and am also now highlighting the Get promoted probability, and the Top 6 finish probability which is looking very good indeed. :D

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APL Champion 2018 + 2025
APL Hall of Fame Champion 2024 + 2025
140 grounds - 78/92

'Can I expect my team to stay in the Championship when they have to train at a school when the weather is bad?'
'Every year we’re in League 1 is a year too long'
Pete W


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PostPosted: Sun Feb 27, 2022 12:14 pm 
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Posts: 10174
So we're not going down then? 8-)

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