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Oakeedokee
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 12:14 pm 
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Posts: 1334
If the league table was based on Expected Goals alone, only AFC and Bolton would be below us.....

https://experimental361.com/2019/08/31/expected-goals-league-tables-30-aug-1-sep-2019/
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dons50
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 1:15 pm 
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We’re doomed.
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Brando
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 1:31 pm 
In a league table based on things that didn’t happen, we would be near the bottom.

Am I alone in not understanding the expected goals thing? I understand what it’s doing, but I don’t understand why.
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WellDon
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 1:47 pm 
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Joined: Sat Sep 23, 2017 2:48 pm
Posts: 4884
Location: In the Armchair.
Brando wrote:
In a league table based on things that didn’t happen, we would be near the bottom.

Am I alone in not understanding the expected goals thing? I understand what it’s doing, but I don’t understand why.

I’m in the same boat, all I can tell you is that we are expected to concede goals, just after halftime or in the final few minutes......but hell I don’t need a graph to tell me that.

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Kempstondons6
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:44 pm 
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Joined: Mon Sep 25, 2017 2:41 pm
Posts: 2847
WellDon wrote:
Brando wrote:
In a league table based on things that didn’t happen, we would be near the bottom.

Am I alone in not understanding the expected goals thing? I understand what it’s doing, but I don’t understand why.

I’m in the same boat, all I can tell you is that we are expected to concede goals, just after halftime or in the final few minutes......but hell I don’t need a graph to tell me that.


I expect us to concede goals at any time in the 90 minutes, so far I’ve rarely been wrong! :(
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Oldfarmdons
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:21 pm 
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Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2017 8:54 am
Posts: 1812
Brando wrote:
In a league table based on things that didn’t happen, we would be near the bottom.

Am I alone in not understanding the expected goals thing? I understand what it’s doing, but I don’t understand why.


Nope - like many stats in modern sport I just don't seem to get them

:?
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Bill
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 6:57 pm 
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Joined: Sat Sep 23, 2017 5:44 pm
Posts: 1118
in a table of teams called MK Dons, we are top of the Premiership
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SteelbackDon
PostPosted: Tue Sep 03, 2019 10:23 am 
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Joined: Sat Sep 23, 2017 6:41 pm
Posts: 679
I enjoy stats and love the fact that you can now know that Bowery has one only one aerial dual so far this season out of the 29 he has challenged for; that Agard has only had 4 successful dribbles in the league so far out of 35 attempted (no idea what they class as a dribble, but that's what it says...) and that Marcus Maddison has the longest average distance away per goal scored in the last 3 seasons (minimum 6 goals, he's averaging 21.4 metres per goal- shows what happens if you shoot...) our furthest is Alex Gilbey with 11.7 metres per goal.
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SG19 Cowshed Das Boot
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2019 8:00 am 
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Location: .... In SG19 ..... Betting Champion 2019/20 Power of 3 Champion 2017/18 + 2019/20
dons50 wrote:
We’re doomed.
This guy gets it 8-)
(C) Keyser

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Dad_Of_A_Don
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2019 1:49 pm 
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Joined: Thu Dec 07, 2017 10:55 am
Posts: 1741
Oldfarmdons wrote:
Brando wrote:
In a league table based on things that didn’t happen, we would be near the bottom.

Am I alone in not understanding the expected goals thing? I understand what it’s doing, but I don’t understand why.


Nope - like many stats in modern sport I just don't seem to get them

:?


Me too
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