THE CONCRETE ROUNDABOUT (TCR)
http://www.sitdownorwellstealyourclub.com/phpbb2/

That first half
http://www.sitdownorwellstealyourclub.com/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1154
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Author:  SG19 Cowshed Das Boot [ Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: That first half

A good & simple explanation of Expected Goals (xG) from BBC Sport, as used for the MOTD/MOTD2 analysis from this season onwards.

"Expected Goals tells us whether a player really should have scored"

"As well as helping us to assess player performance, Expected Goals also enables us to judge teams - and to predict future performance."

"Results were poor, but Expected Goal difference told a different story..."

"So if your team is performing above or below expectations, a look at their Expected Goals difference could tell you whether that run is likely to last."

Well worth a read if you're still unclear on what they mean:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/40699431

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